FairXG
Tennis (ATP) / Match analysis
Rolex Paris Masters 2026-11-06
Borges N. Rated 1708
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Ruud C. Rated 1764
Borges N. 42% Fair odds 2.38
Ruud C. Model pick 58% Fair odds 1.72
Add to slip: Borges N. Ruud C.

Share of the pitch

Each side's win chance as territory
42% To win 58% To win

Who wins

Borges N.Ruud C.
Elo model 42%58%

Why this prediction

What the model weighs, and what it leaves out
  • Overall strength Favours Ruud C.

    Ruud C. are rated 56 points above Borges N. (1764 to 1708), built from every result, weighted towards recent ones.

  • Last 5 matches Neutral

    Borges N. LWWLW, barely moved; Ruud C. LWLWW, gained 17 rating points. Already counted in the ratings above.

  • Past meetings Neutral

    Borges N. won 2, drew 0 and lost 2 of the last 4 meetings in the data. Not used by the model: once current strength is known, old meetings add little.

    Not in the model

Rating, last 12 months

Borges N.Ruud C.
2025-11-021593–18162026-10-30

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