FairXG
Tennis (ATP) / Match analysis
Rolex Paris Masters 2026-11-07
Alcaraz C. Rated 2095
--days
--hrs
--min
--sec
Ruud C. Rated 1764
Alcaraz C. Model pick 87% Fair odds 1.15
Ruud C. 13% Fair odds 7.73
Add to slip: Alcaraz C. Ruud C.

Share of the pitch

Each side's win chance as territory
87% To win 13% To win

Who wins

Alcaraz C.Ruud C.
Elo model 87%13%

Why this prediction

What the model weighs, and what it leaves out
  • Overall strength Favours Alcaraz C.

    Alcaraz C. are rated 331 points above Ruud C. (2095 to 1764), built from every result, weighted towards recent ones.

  • Last 5 matches Neutral

    Alcaraz C. WWWWW, gained 29 rating points; Ruud C. LWLWW, gained 17 rating points. Already counted in the ratings above.

  • Past meetings Favours Alcaraz C.

    Alcaraz C. won 6, drew 0 and lost 1 of the last 7 meetings in the data. Not used by the model: once current strength is known, old meetings add little.

    Not in the model

Rating, last 12 months

Alcaraz C.Ruud C.
2025-11-091738–22242026-11-01

Are you 18 or over?

FairXG shows betting odds and is only for adults. Only stake what you can afford to lose.

By continuing you agree to the terms. See privacy.