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Tennis (ATP) / Match analysis
Rolex Paris Masters 2026-11-08
Alcaraz C. Rated 2095
--days
--hrs
--min
--sec
Shelton B. Rated 1851
Alcaraz C. Model pick 80% Fair odds 1.25
Shelton B. 20% Fair odds 5.07
Add to slip: Alcaraz C. Shelton B.

Share of the pitch

Each side's win chance as territory
80% To win 20% To win

Who wins

Alcaraz C.Shelton B.
Elo model 80%20%

Why this prediction

What the model weighs, and what it leaves out
  • Overall strength Favours Alcaraz C.

    Alcaraz C. are rated 244 points above Shelton B. (2095 to 1851), built from every result, weighted towards recent ones.

  • Last 5 matches Favours Alcaraz C.

    Alcaraz C. WWWWW, gained 29 rating points; Shelton B. LWLWL, lost 48 rating points. Already counted in the ratings above.

  • Past meetings Neutral

    Alcaraz C. won 2, drew 0 and lost 1 of the last 3 meetings in the data. Not used by the model: once current strength is known, old meetings add little.

    Not in the model

Rating, last 12 months

Alcaraz C.Shelton B.
2025-11-091757–22242026-11-01

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