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Tennis (WTA) / Match analysis
FAGE WTA Finals Indian Wells 2026-11-10
Andreeva M. Rated 1949
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Sabalenka A. Rated 2046
Andreeva M. 36% Fair odds 2.75
Sabalenka A. Model pick 64% Fair odds 1.57

Share of the pitch

Each side's win chance as territory
36% To win 64% To win

Who wins

Andreeva M.Sabalenka A.
Elo model 36%64%

Why this prediction

What the model weighs, and what it leaves out
  • Overall strength Favours Sabalenka A.

    Sabalenka A. are rated 97 points above Andreeva M. (2046 to 1949), built from every result, weighted towards recent ones.

  • Last 5 matches Favours Andreeva M.

    Andreeva M. LWWWW, gained 17 rating points; Sabalenka A. LLWLW, lost 39 rating points. Already counted in the ratings above.

  • Past meetings Favours Sabalenka A.

    Andreeva M. won 2, drew 0 and lost 4 of the last 6 meetings in the data. Not used by the model: once current strength is known, old meetings add little.

    Not in the model

Rating, last 12 months

Andreeva M.Sabalenka A.
2025-11-021837–21672026-10-14

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