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Tennis (WTA) / Match analysis
FAGE WTA Finals Indian Wells 2026-11-10
Gauff C. Rated 2016
--days
--hrs
--min
--sec
Kostyuk M. Rated 1882
Gauff C. Model pick 68% Fair odds 1.46
Kostyuk M. 32% Fair odds 3.16
Add to slip: Gauff C. Kostyuk M.

Share of the pitch

Each side's win chance as territory
68% To win 32% To win

Who wins

Gauff C.Kostyuk M.
Elo model 68%32%

Why this prediction

What the model weighs, and what it leaves out
  • Overall strength Favours Gauff C.

    Gauff C. are rated 134 points above Kostyuk M. (2016 to 1882), built from every result, weighted towards recent ones.

  • Last 5 matches Favours Gauff C.

    Gauff C. LWWLW, lost 15 rating points; Kostyuk M. LLLLW, lost 71 rating points. Already counted in the ratings above.

  • Past meetings Favours Gauff C.

    Gauff C. won 4, drew 0 and lost 2 of the last 6 meetings in the data. Not used by the model: once current strength is known, old meetings add little.

    Not in the model

Rating, last 12 months

Gauff C.Kostyuk M.
2025-11-021748–20402026-10-21

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