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Tennis (WTA) / Match analysis
FAGE WTA Finals Indian Wells 2026-11-08
Gauff C. Rated 2016
--days
--hrs
--min
--sec
Pegula J. Rated 1980
Gauff C. Model pick 55% Fair odds 1.81
Pegula J. 45% Fair odds 2.23
Add to slip: Gauff C. Pegula J.

Share of the pitch

Each side's win chance as territory
55% To win 45% To win

Who wins

Gauff C.Pegula J.
Elo model 55%45%

Why this prediction

What the model weighs, and what it leaves out
  • Overall strength Favours Gauff C.

    Gauff C. are rated 36 points above Pegula J. (2016 to 1980), built from every result, weighted towards recent ones.

  • Last 5 matches Neutral

    Gauff C. LWWLW, lost 15 rating points; Pegula J. LLWWW, lost 16 rating points. Already counted in the ratings above.

  • Past meetings Neutral

    Gauff C. won 5, drew 0 and lost 5 of the last 10 meetings in the data. Not used by the model: once current strength is known, old meetings add little.

    Not in the model

Rating, last 12 months

Gauff C.Pegula J.
2025-11-021904–20402026-10-14

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