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Tennis (WTA) / Match analysis
FAGE WTA Finals Indian Wells 2026-11-08
Kostyuk M. Rated 1882
--days
--hrs
--min
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Noskova L. Rated 1903
Kostyuk M. 47% Fair odds 2.12
Noskova L. Model pick 53% Fair odds 1.89
Add to slip: Kostyuk M. Noskova L.

Share of the pitch

Each side's win chance as territory
47% To win 53% To win

Who wins

Kostyuk M.Noskova L.
Elo model 47%53%

Why this prediction

What the model weighs, and what it leaves out
  • Overall strength Favours Noskova L.

    Noskova L. are rated 20 points above Kostyuk M. (1903 to 1882), built from every result, weighted towards recent ones.

  • Last 5 matches Favours Noskova L.

    Kostyuk M. LLLLW, lost 71 rating points; Noskova L. LWWLW, barely moved. Already counted in the ratings above.

  • Past meetings Neutral

    Kostyuk M. won 1, drew 0 and lost 2 of the last 3 meetings in the data. Not used by the model: once current strength is known, old meetings add little.

    Not in the model

Rating, last 12 months

Kostyuk M.Noskova L.
2026-01-071748–19622026-10-21

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