Muchova K.
34%
Fair odds 2.97
Sabalenka A.
Model pick
66%
Fair odds 1.51
Share of the pitch
Who wins
| Muchova K. | Sabalenka A. | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo model | 34% | 66% |
Why this prediction
-
Overall strength Favours Sabalenka A.
Sabalenka A. are rated 118 points above Muchova K. (2046 to 1929), built from every result, weighted towards recent ones.
-
Last 5 matches Favours Muchova K.
Muchova K. LWLWW, lost 16 rating points; Sabalenka A. LLWLW, lost 39 rating points. Already counted in the ratings above.
-
Past meetings Neutral
Muchova K. won 3, drew 0 and lost 2 of the last 5 meetings in the data. Not used by the model: once current strength is known, old meetings add little.
Not in the model
Rating, last 12 months
Muchova K.Sabalenka A. Muchova K.
LWWLWWWLWL- L Shnaider D.
- W McNally C.
- L Bartunkova N.
- W Osaka N.
-
W
Samsonova L.
-
W
Boulter K.
- L Navarro E.
-
W
Boulter K.
- W Kraus S.
-
L
Noskova L.
Sabalenka A.
WWWWWWLWLL- L Li A.
- L Bartunkova N.
- W Zarazua R.
- L Rybakina E.
-
W
Pegula J.
-
W
Noskova L.
- W Townsend T.
- W Rakhimova K.
-
W
Iatcenko P.
- W Osorio M.
3Muchova K. wins2Sabalenka A. wins- L Muchova K. vs Sabalenka A.
- W Muchova K. vs Sabalenka A.
- W Muchova K. vs Sabalenka A.
- W Muchova K. vs Sabalenka A.
- L Muchova K. vs Sabalenka A.
5 meetings in the data. Results shown from Muchova K.'s side.