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Tennis (WTA) / Match analysis
FAGE WTA Finals Indian Wells 2026-11-10
Noskova L. Rated 1903
--days
--hrs
--min
--sec
Pegula J. Rated 1980
Noskova L. 39% Fair odds 2.56
Pegula J. Model pick 61% Fair odds 1.64
Add to slip: Noskova L. Pegula J.

Share of the pitch

Each side's win chance as territory
39% To win 61% To win

Who wins

Noskova L.Pegula J.
Elo model 39%61%

Why this prediction

What the model weighs, and what it leaves out
  • Overall strength Favours Pegula J.

    Pegula J. are rated 78 points above Noskova L. (1980 to 1903), built from every result, weighted towards recent ones.

  • Last 5 matches Neutral

    Noskova L. LWWLW, barely moved; Pegula J. LLWWW, lost 16 rating points. Already counted in the ratings above.

  • Past meetings Favours Noskova L.

    Noskova L. won 3, drew 0 and lost 1 of the last 4 meetings in the data. Not used by the model: once current strength is known, old meetings add little.

    Not in the model

Rating, last 12 months

Noskova L.Pegula J.
2025-11-021753–20112026-10-14

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