FairXG
Tennis (WTA) / Match analysis
FAGE WTA Finals Indian Wells 2026-11-10
Sabalenka A. Rated 2046
--days
--hrs
--min
--sec
Svitolina E. Rated 1932
Sabalenka A. Model pick 66% Fair odds 1.52
Svitolina E. 34% Fair odds 2.94

Share of the pitch

Each side's win chance as territory
66% To win 34% To win

Who wins

Sabalenka A.Svitolina E.
Elo model 66%34%

Why this prediction

What the model weighs, and what it leaves out
  • Overall strength Favours Sabalenka A.

    Sabalenka A. are rated 115 points above Svitolina E. (2046 to 1932), built from every result, weighted towards recent ones.

  • Last 5 matches Favours Svitolina E.

    Sabalenka A. LLWLW, lost 39 rating points; Svitolina E. LWWLW, lost 19 rating points. Already counted in the ratings above.

  • Past meetings Favours Sabalenka A.

    Sabalenka A. won 5, drew 0 and lost 1 of the last 6 meetings in the data. Not used by the model: once current strength is known, old meetings add little.

    Not in the model

Rating, last 12 months

Sabalenka A.Svitolina E.
2025-11-021830–21672026-10-16

Are you 18 or over?

FairXG shows betting odds and is only for adults. Only stake what you can afford to lose.

By continuing you agree to the terms. See privacy.

FairXG

Sports
Account